{"id":9828,"date":"2022-03-11T15:39:54","date_gmt":"2022-03-11T14:39:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.direkt36.hu\/?p=7630"},"modified":"2022-03-11T15:39:54","modified_gmt":"2022-03-11T14:39:54","slug":"orban-asztalan-sorakozo-szines-cetlik-mutatjak-hogyan-ujitotta-meg-a-kampanyat-a-fidesz-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/direkt36.exot.hu\/en\/orban-asztalan-sorakozo-szines-cetlik-mutatjak-hogyan-ujitotta-meg-a-kampanyat-a-fidesz-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Orb\u00e1n asztal\u00e1n sorakoz\u00f3 sz\u00ednes cetlik mutatj\u00e1k, hogyan \u00faj\u00edtotta meg a kamp\u00e1ny\u00e1t a Fidesz"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>For some time, PM Viktor Orb\u00e1n has been receiving all government proposals on his desk with green, yellow, or red post-its. The colors of the traffic light system signal to the PM the political risks involved in individual decisions. The documents with the highest, red stickers are typically not signed by the PM.<\/p>\n<p>The post-it system has been developed in parallel with the governing Fidesz party\u2019s preparations for the parliamentary election. It serves the goal to avoid a government decision which could decrease Fidesz\u2019s chance for a victory. The assessments based on the calculation of political risks have been done by Bence Tuzson, a close ally of and state secretary under minister Antal Rog\u00e1n, who preliminarily reads all government materials and proposals.<\/p>\n<p>This episode shows the special role Rog\u00e1n, the head of the PM\u2019s cabinet, and others close to him play in the election preparations. Despite fulfilling this role in the 2019 local government elections which ended with a worse than expected results for Fidesz, Rog\u00e1n has been the unquestionable leader of the current election campaign.<\/p>\n<p>The 2019 election did not damage Rog\u00e1n\u2019s reputation, however, it provided Fidesz with several important lessons learned. Drawing conclusions from the defeat of Fidesz-backed and incumbent mayor of Budapest Istv\u00e1n Tarl\u00f3s, who had no Facebook presence, Fidesz learned that elections cannot be won without social media. Therefore, the party has started training its politicians on the proper use of Facebook. In parallel with this acknowledgment, the Megafon Center sponsoring the social media presence of government-close persons has been established.<\/p>\n<p>Fidesz also concluded from the 2019 elections that Tarl\u00f3s\u2019s communication focusing on stressing the achievements alone cannot lead to victory. It confirmed the need for a strategy demonizing the enemy which Fidesz had already successfully mastered in previous parliamentary campaigns. Therefore, former PM and president of the Democratic Coalition opposition party Ferenc Gyurcs\u00e1ny has become the center of Fidesz\u2019s negative campaign.<\/p>\n<div class=\"felhivas\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.direkt36.hu\/en\/tamogass-minket\/\">Help us tell the truth in Hungary! Become a supporter\u00a0 now<\/a><\/div>\n<p>At the same time, Fidesz politicians have been concerned that a case similar to the 2019 sex scandal of Fidesz mayor of Gy\u0151r Zsolt Borkai could break in the run-up to the election day that would damage Fidesz. In order to manage the impact of a potential public revelation of a homosexual government politician on the election outcome, the party has been trying to gain a significant lead over the opposition with various financial incentives to the voters.<\/p>\n<p>Direkt36 spoke with more than a dozen of sources \u2013 government players and opposition politicians in contact with them \u2013 to understand the election strategy of Fidesz. They all agreed to discussions under the condition of anonymity.<\/p>\n<p>We have sent several questions to the press chief of PM Orb\u00e1n, Rog\u00e1n\u2019s ministry, as well as Fidesz but have not received responses.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"kozcim\"><strong>The lost trust<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>The strategy of Fidesz for the 2019 local government elections was to keep as many opposition voters as possible at home. A boring campaign was in the interest of the party and therefore it did not approve a debate between incumbent Fidesz-backed mayor Istv\u00e1n Tarl\u00f3s and his main opposition challenger Gergely Kar\u00e1csony. This was also the reason for PM Orb\u00e1n\u2019s moderate role in the campaign. A few days before the elections, he still had time to travel to Rome and then Paris.<\/p>\n<p>The campaign of Tarl\u00f3s focused mainly on emphasizing his achievements. He did not have major campaign events and did not promote his largely inactive Facebook page for the campaign period either. He told Hungarian online news site Azonnali that he \u201cdid not like Facebook. With all its advantages for the next generations, anonymity and irresponsible internet communication also contains many risks.\u201d In contrast, Kar\u00e1csony had a robust online presence.<\/p>\n<p>In the end, the only slightly visible campaign of Fidesz was disrupted by the publication of photos and videos on a blog which showed then Fidesz mayor of the town of Gy\u0151r, Zsolt Borkai, and his friends having sex with young women on a yacht. The scandal had a significant impact on the lead campaign theme. It made it increasingly difficult for Fidesz politicians to keep talking about Kar\u00e1csony\u2019s unsuitability, according to a government-close source. During the campaign, Fidesz barely reacted to the scandal, which had the opposite effect to its previous campaign aim and mobilized opposition voters, while it increased uncertainty among its own electoral base.<\/p>\n<p>Fidesz performed much worse in the October 2019 local government elections as it was previously anticipated by the party. \u201cThe degree of defeat of Tarl\u00f3s and of the loss of Budapest districts came as a surprise,\u201d a Fidesz politician said with regards to not only losing the position of the mayor but also several traditionally right-leaning election districts in the capital. In addition, Fidesz also lost important positions in the countryside, with the opposition taking over the leadership in several bigger towns.<\/p>\n<p>In most cases, surveys by government-close think tanks Sz\u00e1zadv\u00e9g and N\u00e9z\u0151pont failed to predict these losses in advance. Both public and internal opinion polls calculated with better Fidesz results, and due to their inaccuracy many inside Fidesz felt resentment towards the political analysts. One of the leading staff in a government-close institute later complained to several opposition analysts about the criticism they received: \u201cAgain and again we need to earn the trust.\u201d According to a Fidesz mayor, due to the inaccurate results provided by these think tanks his local municipality has been working for a while now with Medi\u00e1n, an independent public opinion pollster where \u201cfeelings do not have an impact on the reality.\u201d<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"kozcim\"><strong>We were not good enough<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Although the 2019 campaign was the first one after 10 years which did not have the outcome desired by Fidesz, party members did not consider it a serious tragedy. According to a source who has regular conversations with leading Fidesz politicians, the ruling party rather had the impression that they simply \u201cwere not good enough.\u201d Several lessons were learned however from the 2019 campaign; in particular lessons about the usage of social media and the importance of a negative campaign. These had become the foundations in their preparation for the current parliamentary elections, which they have already started in 2020.<\/p>\n<p>In this process the head of the PM\u2019s cabinet Antal Rog\u00e1n continues to play the key role as his reputation has not been damaged by the 2019 campaign. According to a government official Rog\u00e1n\u2019s position has even strengthened because of the unsuccessful campaign of Tarl\u00f3s, who tried to distance himself from Fidesz\u2019s campaign staff. Another source in contact with leading Fidesz politicians said that Rog\u00e1n likes \u201cdoing everything himself\u201d and stays late into the night in his office. The government official added that even if not all campaign ideas come directly from him, he effectively oversees their implementation.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_7636\" style=\"width: 2010px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-7636\" class=\"size-full wp-image-7636\" src=\"https:\/\/www.direkt36.hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Roga\u0301n_03.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https:\/\/direkt36.exot.hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Roga\u0301n_03.jpeg 2000w, https:\/\/direkt36.exot.hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Roga\u0301n_03-800x533.jpeg 800w, https:\/\/direkt36.exot.hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Roga\u0301n_03-1200x800.jpeg 1200w, https:\/\/direkt36.exot.hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Roga\u0301n_03-768x512.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/direkt36.exot.hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Roga\u0301n_03-1536x1024.jpeg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-7636\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Orb\u00e1n and Rog\u00e1n, Source:\u00a0Facebook page of Orb\u00e1n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Rog\u00e1n relies to a great extent on Andr\u00e1s Gy\u00fcrk, with whom they started their career together in Fidelitas, the youth organization of Fidesz, and who officially managed multiple parliamentary and European Parliamentary election campaigns in the past. The different researches and surveys for Rog\u00e1n are overseen by G\u00e1bor F\u0171r\u00e9sz, leader of the most government-affiliated think tank Sz\u00e1zadv\u00e9g. F\u0171r\u00e9sz is also a member of a Hungarian rock-band called Magashegyi Underground, he also used to be a shareholder in an important government-close pollster company K\u00f3d Ltd., and was also the co-owner of one of the Sz\u00e1zadv\u00e9g-companies together with Krist\u00f3f Szalay-Bobrovniczky, the former business partner of \u00c1rp\u00e1d Habony, chief advisor of PM Orb\u00e1n. In summer of 2021 he became chief of the board of trustees of Sz\u00e1zadv\u00e9g Foundation.<\/p>\n<p>We sent several questions to Sz\u00e1zadv\u00e9g-group regarding the activities of G\u00e1bor F\u0171r\u00e9sz. In their response Sz\u00e1zadv\u00e9g Foundation stated it had no contracts with Fidesz and F\u0171r\u00e9sz held no position in the party.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"kozcim\"><strong>Fidesz and the social media<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Rog\u00e1n and his staff learned many lessons from the 2019 elections, partly from feedback collected from regional Fidesz organizations.<\/p>\n<p>It became obvious to the Rog\u00e1n team that social media was not fully utilized in the 2019 campaign. Following the 2019 elections a joint research by a communications agency and a market analyst company showed that Facebook played a crucial role during the campaign. According to this research:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>In the Budapest districts turned by the opposition from Fidesz the opposition candidates were more active on Facebook,<\/li>\n<li>Gergely Kar\u00e1csony, who became the mayor of Budapest, efficiently managed his social media presence, while his opponent Istv\u00e1n Tarl\u00f3s did not even have his own social media page,<\/li>\n<li>Even the Facebook page of Fidesz contained only 11 posts altogether that encouraged people to vote for Tarl\u00f3s.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Fidesz drew similar conclusions; according to a government-close source they believe that \u201cthe 2022 elections will be decided on Facebook.\u201d The pollsters working for Fidesz already surveyed that Facebook was the primary source of information for 30 percent of the people. Since then this rate, mostly due to the coronavirus pandemic, increased close to 60 percent.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_7642\" style=\"width: 2010px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-7642\" class=\"size-full wp-image-7642\" src=\"https:\/\/www.direkt36.hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Orba\u0301n_tablet.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https:\/\/direkt36.exot.hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Orba\u0301n_tablet.jpeg 2000w, https:\/\/direkt36.exot.hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Orba\u0301n_tablet-800x533.jpeg 800w, https:\/\/direkt36.exot.hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Orba\u0301n_tablet-1200x800.jpeg 1200w, https:\/\/direkt36.exot.hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Orba\u0301n_tablet-768x512.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/direkt36.exot.hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Orba\u0301n_tablet-1536x1024.jpeg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-7642\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source:\u00a0Facebook page of Orb\u00e1n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Therefore, in the last couple of years Fidesz politicians have started learning how they could use Facebook more professionally. Foreign minister P\u00e9ter Szijj\u00e1rt\u00f3, who is currently one of the most active Fidesz politicians in social media, earlier spoke about how he was reluctant to have his own Facebook page. It was Rog\u00e1n who first suggested it to him, and after further hesitation, PM Orb\u00e1n also raised it with him in the beginning of 2020. Others have also become more active on social media \u2013 during the pandemic, PM Orb\u00e1n announced the most important government decisions in Facebook videos posted on his page. Finally, in May 2020 the Megafon Center was founded with the aim to amplify pro-government ideas and opinions through financing Facebook posts of pro-government figures.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"kozcim\"><strong>Toughness and Gyurcs\u00e1ny<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>A couple of months after Megafon was established Fidesz took another important step in preparation for 2022. PM Orb\u00e1n published an opinion piece about the upcoming elections in the government-affiliated daily Magyar Nemzet in September 2020. Among others he wrote: \u201cThere is no point in deluding ourselves: the global elite will perform the same strategy during the elections in Hungary in 2022. Their tool is the left-wing that has fallen many times before, and their leader, Ferenc Gyurcs\u00e1ny\u2026\u201d<\/p>\n<p>In this piece, Orb\u00e1n described the strategy Fidesz has since taken on against the opposition. The core of this approach is the central message that with the strongest opposition party being the Democratic Coalition (DK), the opposition\u2019s true leader is its party president and former controversial PM Ferenc Gyurcs\u00e1ny. Gyurcs\u00e1ny has been put into the spotlight because Fidesz staff saw in opinion polls that highlighting his figure could turn away centrist and right-leaning voters from the opposition.<\/p>\n<p>Tarl\u00f3s\u2019s disappointing performance in 2019 was also a confirmation to Fidesz strategists that no election can be won by only highlighting successes and achievements. As a government-close source put it: \u201cWe also need a confrontational campaign that chooses an enemy who represents a threat.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Even the opposition politicians felt that Fidesz would lead an aggressive election campaign. The ruling party heavily attacked Budapest mayor Kar\u00e1csony for the municipality\u2019s COVID-19 response already in spring 2020, but one Fidesz politician in Budapest told an opposition politician that more severe confrontation was awaiting the mayor. \u201cWe are constantly being pushed for not being harder on him,\u201d he said. Fidesz wanted to increase pressure on Kar\u00e1csony because it believed he was the biggest threat to Fidesz as the leader of the opposition.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"kozcim\"><strong>The digitalized Kubatov-list <\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>The first time this strategy based on social media communications and focus on a negative campaign was used by Fidesz in spring 2021 when Gergely Kar\u00e1csony announced his prime ministerial candidacy during the opposition\u2019s primaries in mid-May 2021. On the day of his announcement Facebook and Youtube were flooded by Fidesz-sponsored videos about Kar\u00e1csony being in reality Gyurcs\u00e1ny\u2019s puppet. The role of Megafon also became clear at that point; in the next couple of months it has gradually become one of the largest domestic political advertisers, spending more than 1.3 million euros altogether on amplifying pro-government messages in Facebook advertisements last year.<\/p>\n<p>The timing of Fidesz\u2019s \u201cStop Gyurcs\u00e1ny! Stop Kar\u00e1csony!\u201d petition last September was not coincidental either. Party leaders claimed that they only wanted to remind voters that people who previously \u201cdestroyed this country\u201d wanted to gain power once again, but in reality the signature drive served a more important purpose.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_7638\" style=\"width: 1090px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-7638\" class=\"size-full wp-image-7638\" src=\"https:\/\/www.direkt36.hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Stopgyurcsa\u0301ny_01.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1080\" height=\"1080\" srcset=\"https:\/\/direkt36.exot.hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Stopgyurcsa\u0301ny_01.jpeg 1080w, https:\/\/direkt36.exot.hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Stopgyurcsa\u0301ny_01-800x800.jpeg 800w, https:\/\/direkt36.exot.hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Stopgyurcsa\u0301ny_01-500x500.jpeg 500w, https:\/\/direkt36.exot.hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Stopgyurcsa\u0301ny_01-768x768.jpeg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1080px) 100vw, 1080px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-7638\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Orb\u00e1n signs the &#8220;Stop Gyurcs\u00e1ny&#8221; petition,\u00a0Source:\u00a0Facebook page of Orb\u00e1n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Fidesz wanted to update the database dubbed the \u201cKubatov-list,\u201d named after Fidesz\u2019s party director G\u00e1bor Kubatov, which contained the names of Fidesz sympathizers. Possessing an up-to-date database with their own voters has been a central element of Fidesz\u2019s election strategy for a long time now, so when the election day comes Fidesz activists are aware who they can seek out to mobilize for voting. \u201cThere is a huge belief in the management of Fidesz that in the end, that is all that matters. On the day of the elections you have to stand there in the door, until you convince citizens to go to vote,\u201d a government official said. He added that the party puts a lot of energy into updating the list and this year Fidesz activists will follow on tablets which doors there are still to knock on and just like food couriers they would \u201calways just receive the next name and address.\u201d<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"kozcim\"><strong>Fidesz seizes the opportunity <\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Despite Fidesz\u2019s preparations, the opposition primaries did not go smoothly for the party. For one opposition analyst, a sign of uncertainty within Fidesz was when his inquiries were met with silence, even though earlier he had no problems reaching his government-close contacts. Fidesz contacts later explained this by saying they were busy with conducting an enormous amount of surveys, and these showed an opposition advantage during the primaries.<\/p>\n<p>Moreover, contrary to Fidesz expectations, P\u00e9ter M\u00e1rki-Zay, mayor of a small town of H\u00f3dmez\u0151v\u00e1s\u00e1rhely, and not Budapest mayor Gergely Kar\u00e1csony won the opposition primaries and became the joint opposition prime ministerial candidate. \u201cThis caught us by surprise,\u201d a Fidesz politician said, and added that the communication strategy of Fidesz had therefore focused on Kar\u00e1csony\u2019s presumed victory.<\/p>\n<p>The so-called \u201cCity Hall case\u201d \u2013 a series of questionably sourced media reports centering around leaks alleging wrongdoings in the Budapest City Hall \u2013 also fitted into these expectations and according to a Fidesz politician \u201cit was made up to be used against Kar\u00e1csony as the prime ministerial candidate.\u201d The source added that despite the different outcome of the opposition primaries Fidesz decided to \u201cseize this opportunity\u201d as the case was already prepared.<\/p>\n<p>The most important allegations in the case included claims that Kar\u00e1csony\u2019s circles had a secret plan to sell the Budapest City Hall building (with the involvement of former Socialist Prime Minister Gordon Bajnai) and that corruption was involved in other purchases by the municipality.<\/p>\n<p>The story was first published by Hungarian online news outlet Index in November 2021. It was believed in Fidesz leadership that Index was responsible for its losses in the 2019 local elections by keeping the sex scandal story of now former mayor of Gy\u0151r Zsolt Borkai on the public agenda. In early 2020, Index was purchased by a government-close businessman and following the ownership change Index reduced the number of government-critical stories but it has not become such a harsh propaganda site as other pro-government outlets. Former editor of the news site\u2019s political column Bal\u00e1zs Gabay who resigned last November stated in a Facebook post that the government was behind the story and \u201cin this case, Index only served as a platform for someone who used it to politically attack their opponents.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Kar\u00e1csony denied the allegations and the municipality even set up an investigative committee, but the fact that he was forced to keep explaining himself because of a case that he said never even happened showed how effective the government\u2019s campaign was.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"kozcim\"><strong>The energized Orb\u00e1n<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>In the meantime, Fidesz had to adapt its communication strategy to the unexpected victory of P\u00e9ter M\u00e1rki-Zay. Since then, despite M\u00e1rki-Zay calling himself a conservative and harshly criticizing Gyurcs\u00e1ny during the primaries, Fidesz has portrayed him as a leftist politician with connections to the former PM and president of Democratic Coalition opposition party.\u00a0 For this, they used statements by M\u00e1rki-Zay on Fidesz\u2019s favorite topics \u2013 migration and utility cost reduction \u2013 as well as his other controversial statements.<\/p>\n<p>And he has made several of them, for instance calling pro-government journalists \u201cretarded,\u201d or when he talked about Jews in Fidesz. \u201cWe utilize and schematize his mistakes smartly,\u201d a Fidesz politician said when he described how they take out sentences from M\u00e1rki-Zay\u2019s long Facebook videos to be used against him afterwards.<\/p>\n<p>This reactive strategy consisting of only monitoring M\u00e1rki-Zay\u2019s statements and then responding to them was criticized by many within the ruling party. One of the sources explained this with Fidesz lacking a clear campaign topic this time, as it used to be with the theme of utility cost reduction in 2014 or migration following 2015. In addition, they have not yet found any information that could be used against M\u00e1rki-Zay personally, therefore according to a government-close source there might be no \u201csmear-campaign\u201d against him either.<\/p>\n<p>Nevertheless, there is no serious concern within Fidesz. Internal party polls from February showed they had a 10 percentage lead over the united opposition. Surveys of independent pollster Medi\u00e1n also confirmed public support for the ruling party has increased; while the two blocks were polling neck and neck at 37-37 percent last October, this changed to 39-34 percent to the advantage of Fidesz in December. A government-close source added that the increase in Fidesz\u2019s popularity rate in the beginning of this year is also remarkable because based on trends from previous election campaigns the party\u2019s support either decreased or stagnated between December and the election day.<\/p>\n<p>Fidesz\u2019s own polls show that the party recently improved even in the capital of Budapest, which is considered an opposition stronghold where Fidesz candidates were likely to face an uphill battle. While so far they believed that they could lose all individual constituencies in Budapest, by the beginning of 2022 they started perceiving an advantage, typically in districts led by Fidesz mayors.<\/p>\n<p>Fidesz is also satisfied with the popularity of PM Orb\u00e1n. Party surveys show that Orb\u00e1n has a plus five percentage support, which means that there are five percent more people who support the PM than those who do not. According to the government-close source Orb\u00e1n won elections even with a minus five percentage support. This was also confirmed by another source who added that elections energized Orb\u00e1n \u2013 he is excited about being engaged in an election battle and likes to call individual Fidesz candidates personally to motivate them with survey data.<\/p>\n<p>Fidesz is in a good position not only because of negative campaigns such as the City Hall case but also thanks to the possibility of positive messaging. Since last year, the government has gone on a pre-election spending spree and PM Orb\u00e1n has regularly announced various tax allowances, pension and salary increases, as well as price caps on his social media. According to one government-close source posting positive content about family, countryside visits, and government spendings on the PM\u2019s Facebook page is part of a conscious campaign strategy.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-7640\" src=\"https:\/\/www.direkt36.hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Orba\u0301ndiszno\u0301tva\u0301g_01.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1280\" srcset=\"https:\/\/direkt36.exot.hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Orba\u0301ndiszno\u0301tva\u0301g_01.jpeg 1920w, https:\/\/direkt36.exot.hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Orba\u0301ndiszno\u0301tva\u0301g_01-800x533.jpeg 800w, https:\/\/direkt36.exot.hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Orba\u0301ndiszno\u0301tva\u0301g_01-1200x800.jpeg 1200w, https:\/\/direkt36.exot.hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Orba\u0301ndiszno\u0301tva\u0301g_01-768x512.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/direkt36.exot.hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Orba\u0301ndiszno\u0301tva\u0301g_01-1536x1024.jpeg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\" \/><\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_7639\" style=\"width: 1930px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-7639\" class=\"size-full wp-image-7639\" src=\"https:\/\/www.direkt36.hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Orba\u0301ndiszno\u0301tva\u0301g_04.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1280\" srcset=\"https:\/\/direkt36.exot.hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Orba\u0301ndiszno\u0301tva\u0301g_04.jpeg 1920w, https:\/\/direkt36.exot.hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Orba\u0301ndiszno\u0301tva\u0301g_04-800x533.jpeg 800w, https:\/\/direkt36.exot.hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Orba\u0301ndiszno\u0301tva\u0301g_04-1200x800.jpeg 1200w, https:\/\/direkt36.exot.hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Orba\u0301ndiszno\u0301tva\u0301g_04-768x512.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/direkt36.exot.hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Orba\u0301ndiszno\u0301tva\u0301g_04-1536x1024.jpeg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-7639\" class=\"wp-caption-text\"><span class=\"tojvnm2t a6sixzi8 abs2jz4q a8s20v7p t1p8iaqh k5wvi7nf q3lfd5jv pk4s997a bipmatt0 cebpdrjk qowsmv63 owwhemhu dp1hu0rb dhp61c6y iyyx5f41\">Orb\u00e1n attends a pig slaughter,\u00a0Source:\u00a0Facebook page of Orb\u00e1n<\/span><\/p><\/div>\n<p>As part of being positive, PM Orb\u00e1n announced in December 2021 that Fidesz decided to nominate minister for family affairs Katalin Nov\u00e1k for the position of President of Republic. According to sources with internal knowledge, Orb\u00e1n was considering two different scenarios for the nomination. In case of a potential election loss, Fidesz would need a tough and resilient personality as head of the state, and the names of parliamentary speaker L\u00e1szl\u00f3 K\u00f6v\u00e9r, former minister J\u00e1nos L\u00e1z\u00e1r, and deputy prime minister Zsolt Semj\u00e9n came up. The other scenario was based on election victory and in this case a nominee projecting a positive image was preferred, such as Katalin Nov\u00e1k. In the end, Orb\u00e1n went with the second option and chose Nov\u00e1k, also because Fidesz polls showed opposition PM candidate M\u00e1rki-Zay was less popular among female voters.<\/p>\n<p>Fidesz now expects that even if there is another embarrassing scandal similar to the Borkai case, the advantage it has managed to gain so far would be enough to preserve its lead and win the elections. According to a source there are some concerns inside the party about breaking a story involving a homosexual Fidesz member during the campaign, but Fidesz has gathered enough ammunition to strike back in this case too. As an example mentioned by two Fidesz-close people, when the opposition started picking up the story of how Rog\u00e1n\u2019s cabinet chief allegedly cheated on his law school exams, a few days later it was revealed that a politician from the opposition Socialist Party lied about her university degree.<\/p>\n<p><em>Szabolcs Panyi, Andr\u00e1s Peth\u0151, and Zsuzsanna Wirth contributed to this story.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Cover picture: szarvas \/ Telex<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>For some time now, all government proposals land on PM Orb\u00e1n&#8217;s desk with green, yellow, or red post-its. People with inside knowledge about the election strategy of Fidesz described the ruling party&#8217;s campaign strategy for the 2022 parliamentary elections and its conscious use of social media.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13,"featured_media":7635,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"single-telex.php","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[17,8],"tags":[109,160,259,290,335,344],"ppma_author":[547],"class_list":["post-9828","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mediapolitika","category-direkt36","tag-fidesz","tag-kampany","tag-orban-viktor","tag-rogan-antal","tag-tuzson-bence","tag-valasztas","author-cap-pufi"],"authors":[{"term_id":547,"user_id":0,"is_guest":1,"slug":"cap-pufi","display_name":"pufi","avatar_url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/?s=96&d=mm&r=g","description":"","first_name":"","last_name":"","user_url":""}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/direkt36.exot.hu\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9828","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/direkt36.exot.hu\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/direkt36.exot.hu\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/direkt36.exot.hu\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/13"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/direkt36.exot.hu\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9828"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/direkt36.exot.hu\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9828\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/direkt36.exot.hu\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/7635"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/direkt36.exot.hu\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9828"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/direkt36.exot.hu\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9828"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/direkt36.exot.hu\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9828"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/direkt36.exot.hu\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ppma_author?post=9828"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}